Where our projections disagree with the market — the only rows worth your draft-day attention.
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Startable players our projection ranks ≥5 spots above expert consensus (ECR). Draft-day discounts if the model is right.
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Market-startable players consensus ranks ≥5 spots above our projection. You likely pay full sticker price for less than the model expects.
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Team moves, new coaching staffs, and big offensive-line swings — the rows where stale priors mislead the most.
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